Research record
instrument decision for Ethiopia: compare the exact symbol by contract size, cash value per price move, trading hours, spread or commission, margin, holding cost and recent volatility before choosing exposure.
| Field | Required |
|---|---|
| Market/symbol | Exact contract |
| Session | UTC+3 window |
| Signal/stop | Objective rule |
| Costs | Spread, commission, holding |
| Risk | Trade/day/week/group caps |
| Test | Out-of-sample + forward demo |
Expectancy
Win rate × average win − loss rate × average loss − average complete costs. A high win rate can still lose after rare large losses.
Transfer test
Before using one rule on another market, recalculate cash-per-point, minimum valid risk, session liquidity and parameter stability.
Robustness
Stress wider spreads, delayed fills, gaps, HMR, different volatility regimes and neighbouring parameters.
Deployment
Move from historical test to demo to smallest valid live exposure, with explicit failure criteria at each stage.
Review
Separate strategy failure from poor market selection by reporting results by exact symbol, session and cost regime.
Frequently asked questions
Can one strategy fit every market?
Not without fresh validation. Confirm the exact symbol, contract, cost and current account condition before applying this answer in Ethiopia.
Does high win rate prove success?
No. Confirm the exact symbol, contract, cost and current account condition before applying this answer in Ethiopia.
Should contracts be recalculated?
Yes. Confirm the exact symbol, contract, cost and current account condition before applying this answer in Ethiopia.
Is profit guaranteed?
No. Confirm the exact symbol, contract, cost and current account condition before applying this answer in Ethiopia.